Ghost In The Wings
Wednesday, May 6th, 2009So, Arlen Specter is now a member of the Democratic party. Allow me to just say, officially and unequivocally, “Big fucking deal”. Joe Lieberman was a member of the Democratic party. So was Zell Miller. Hell, Bob Nelson still is a member. And it doesn’t mean dick-ola. It’d be one thing if Specter had an attack of conscience and realized that he was running under a flag that thinks Sarah Palin is qualified to be in a position to launch nuclear weapons. But it had nothing to do with belief or structure, and everything to do with his own political future. Specter admitted as much when he listed his reluctance to have his long career in the Senate decided by the fringe of his current party as one of his primary reasons for swapping.
On one hand, the Republican party is shrinking, and in at least two important ways. The first is their base, which just keeps getting smaller and more isolated. In Pennsylvania, where Specter was staring down the barrel of a primary fight for his Senate seat against resident batshit-crazy former House Rep Pat Toomey. And while the guy is cracklier than an AM radio in a fallout shelter, his particular brand of nonsense and noise is what passes for policy amongst that Republican shrinking base. And since Specter has always been one of the party’s more moderate members, he knew damn well he’d lose that primary.
But it’s more than just Toomey that spooked Specter. The man, I am quite sure, can count. And he saw that in Pensy, his own party’s self-identified membership was shrinking rapidly. More and more keystoners were referring to themselves as either Democrats or Independents. And as low as approval ratings for Democrats in congress generally are, they look sky high compared to those same approval ratings for congressional Republicans. His party is becoming marginalized, impotent and cranky. And Specter doesn’t like it.
To which I say fine. Run as an Independent. If you’re going to do a Lieberman impression, go whole hog, mate. Because make no mistake, he is doing a Lieberman impression. Because from what I can tell, he might have changed the little letter after his name, but he certainly hasn’t gotten on board with the party’s platform or with very much of Obama’s agenda. Now, you could say that’s just Specter staying true to his beliefs. And I’ll say fine. But that means that he isn’t a Democrat, since those core beliefs fly in the face of what the party has been building over the past few years. Hell, he can’t even find a decent word to say about Al Franken. Find me one other Democratic Senator or Congressman that is actively rooting for Norm Coleman. Go ahead. I’ll wait.
So what it boils down to is that Specter wanted that very in-vogue (D) after his name – which I’m pretty sure Fox News has already “accidentally” given him a few times – but he doesn’t actually want to take part in anything associated with his party. Personally, I agree with Markos Moulitsas on this one. I hope Specter keeps on pissing in his newfound pot. Because one of the reasons that the Democratic party has been able to drag itself out from under the crushing obscurity of its predicted “minor party status” is that lousy Democrats get primary challenges of their own. And if Specter thinks he’d have a hard time squaring off as a Republican against a rusty hinge like Toomey, he’s in for a shock going up against Joe Sestak in the Democratic primary.
Now, some people don’t think Specter should be primaried as a Democrat, because there’s a lot of talk that the fairly popular Tom Ridge might run against Toomey on the Republican ticket. Ridge polls well against everyone, and his vast name recognition (not to mention his association with the recovery after 9/11) gives him an edge. Personally, I think that’s some pretty terrible logic.
First of all, you don’t allow a self interested schmuck like Specter represent your party simply because you think he has a better chance of winning. But more importantly, Ridge will be much easier to take down than most people think. To be honest, I find it a bit inconceivable that a state that went for Obama by 10 points and rejected Rick Santorum two years before by 18 points is going to elect a former Bush Administration official to be their Senator. All Sestak has to do is bust out the footage of Ridge standing there like a square peg, waxing incoherent about color-coded threat warnings. It’s a route that Specter really can’t go because of his Senatorial record. But a guy like Sestak could (and in my opinion would) hammer the hell out of Ridge for being a good little Bush lackie.
So Specter can think that he swapped himself into another Senatorial term if he wants to. And the Democrats can delude themselves into thinking that they now hold 59 (and soon to be 60, Arlen) seats in the Senate. But they’re both dead wrong, and the sooner acceptance sinks in, the better.
